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1 | North Korea: Did Gaddafi's Execution Scare Kim Jong-il? | Korea Avaratra: Mampatahotra an'i Kim Jong Ve Ny Famonoana Natao An'i Gaddafi? |
2 | Joo Sung-ha is a North Korean defector-turned-journalist who runs a blog named North Korea RT (Real Talk) [ko]. | Koreana Tavaratra nitsoaka ny fireneny lasa mpanao gazety manoratra ao amin'ny bilaogy antsoina hoe North Korea RT (Real Talk) i Joo Sung. |
3 | Mr. Joo was born in North Korea and graduated from Kim Il-sung University, one of top prestigious universities in North Korea. | Teraka tao Korea Avaratra Andriamatoa Joo ary nahavita fianarana ambony tao amin'ny oniversite Kim Il-sung, iray amin'ireo oniversite manan-danja indrindra ao Korea Avaratra. |
4 | He defected from the country in 1998 and four years later obtained South Korean citizenship. | Niala tao an-tanindrazany izy ny taona 1998 ary nahazo ny fizakana ny zo maha-olom-pirenena Koreana Atsimo efa-taona taty aoriana. |
5 | He regularly publishes long detailed posts about his North Korean experience to give a true insight into the hermit kingdom. | Mamoaka lahatsoratra matetika mitantara ny fiainany amin'ny antsipirihany tao Korea Avaratra izy mba hampahafantarana bebe kokoa ny zava-misy marina ao amin'ny fanjakana mitoka-monina. |
6 | This post [ko] is his critique of numerous news reports suggesting that Kim Jong-il, North Korea's dictator, was scared to hear of former Libyan leader, Colonel Gaddafi's, fall. | Ity lahatsoratra ity dia tsikera nataony tamin'ireo tati-baovao marobe nanaparitaka fa mihorohoro i Kim Jong-il, mpanao didy jadona ao Korea Avaratra raha nandre ny fionganan'i Kolonely Gaddafi, filoham-pirenena Lybiana teo aloha. |
7 | Beside both being amongst the world's most notoriously brutal dictators, they shared lots of similar traits and it is widely believed that they were friends. | Tsy faly fa anisan'ireo mpanao didy jadona maherisetra fantan-daza manerantany, mitovy avokoa ny mombamomba azy ireo ary azo heverina tsara lavitra koa fa mpinamana izy ireo. |
8 | Image of Gaddafi and Kim Jong-il, two of the world's most notorious dictators, Posted in Mr. Joo's blog, used with permission. | Sarin'i Gaddafi sy Kim Jong-il, mpanao didy jadona roa fantan-daza manerantany, Nalefa tao amin'ny bilaogin'i Joo, nahazoana alalana. |
9 | After the fall of Gaddafi, each media outlet published opinion columns suggesting that Kim Jong-il would be shocked by the news. | Taorian'ny fionganan'i Gaddafi, samy namoaka lahatsoratra ny fampahalalam-baovao isan-tsokajiny nanambara fa hihorohoro manoloana ny vaovao i Kim Jong-il. |
10 | But that is NOT what I think. | Saingy TSY izany kosa no eritreretiko. |
11 | Would he be terrified by the news? | Hihorohoro manoloana ny vaovao tokoa ve izy? |
12 | Not a chance. | Toa tsy hisy izany. |
13 | Actually, Kim would rather mock Gaddafi for ‘putting out and get slapped anyway' [slang]. | Raha ny tena marina, toa te hivazivazy ny amin'i Gadahafi fotsiny i Kim noho ny fahavinirany ary mbola mananihany ihany na dia izany aza [vazivazy].. |
14 | To be frank, it is NATO's intervention which drove Gaddafi to his death, not the civilian revolution from inside. | Amiko manokana, ny fidiran'ny OTAN an-tsehatra no nitondra ny fahafatesan'i Gaddafi, fa tsy ny revolisiona anatiny. |
15 | In Kim's case, it is much harder, about a hundred times harder for an internal civil revolution to rise up inside North Korea by its people. | Ny momba an'i Kim manokana, sarotsarotra kokoa, angamba sarotra avo zato eny ho an'ny revolision'ny olom-pirenena no hijoro hanao fiokona ao amin'ny firenena Koreana Avaratra. |
16 | Even if they ever did, his loyal army could quell the uprising easily, even before the news spread to the world. | Na dia mbola tsy nataony mihitsy aza anefa izany, fantatra fa tsy hitsitsy avy hatrany ireo tafika mankato ny fitondrana handrava mora foana ny fiokona, mialoha ny fiparitahan'ny vaovao manerantany mihitsy aza. |
17 | Plus, Kim fully understands that it is not easy for foreign powers to intervene in North Korean internal matters: he's got nuclear weapons, two million soldiers. | Fantatry Kim tsara fa tsy mora ho an'ny fahefana avy any ivelany ny miditra amin'ny raharaha anatiny ao Korea Avaratra: manana fitaovam-piadiana nokleary izy, manana tafika roa tapitrisa. |
18 | And also he is backed by China, and North Korea doesn't have oil… Who would be willing to take a risk attacking North Korea when doing so would likely lead to nothing but trouble? | Ary tohanan'i Shina ihany koa , ary tsy manana solintany kosa i Korea Avaratra… Iza no sahy hanafika an'i Korea Avaratra raha toa ka tsy hitondra afatsy korontana izany? Araka izany, tsy misy antony na iray aza tokony hampitahotra azy manoloana ny vaovao farany ao Libya. |
19 | So there is no single reason he would be terrified to hear the updated news on Libya. | Na izany aza, tsy isalasalana, fa ho sahirana mafy Andriamatoa Kim manoloana izay mety hiseho. |
20 | Without a doubt, however, Mr. Kim must be busy preparing for the future: He would have started organizing security forces, tightening boarder control, blocking any news from the Middle East and empowering his political camp to lessen any chance of coup d'état, etc. | Mety efa nandray fepetra amin'ny fandaminana ireo mpitandro ny filaminana izy, ny fanamafisana ny fanaraha-maso eny amin'ny sisintany, fanakanana ny fampahalalam-baovao rehetra avy any Moyen-Orient ary fanamafisana ny antoko politikany mba hisorohana izay mety ho fanonganam-panjakana, sns. |
21 | Kim Jong-il's biggest concern is whether or not his son and soon-to-be-successor, Kim Jung-un, will maintain a grip on power after he dies. | Ny tena mampanahy an'i Kim Jong dia ny fieritreretana raha mbola mahafehy ny fitondrana ihany ny zanany lahy mpandimby azy, Kim Jung-un, azy na tsia, rahatrizay maty izy. |
22 | I think the chances are bleak. | Raha ny fijeriko azy dia ratsiratsy ihany ny toe-draharaha. |
23 | If he [the successor] keeps acting this way, the regime will not last two years. | Raha mbola mitohy ny ataony [mpandimby], dia tsy haharitra roa taona akory ny fitondrana. |
24 | As far as I foresee, there are two scenarios as to how the North Korean regime might collapse. | Ny hany azoko vinavinaina dia tranga roa ihany no mety hampirodana ny fitondrana Koreana Tavaratra. |
25 | First scenario: Ordinary citizen and government officials are so corrupt and have been so negligent in their duties that [if they continue their usual behaviour] the regime becomes rotten to the core and finally collapses. | Tranga voalohany: Mpanao kolikoly loatra ny olom-pirenena sy ny manampahefana sady tsy miraharaha ny andraikiny ka lò tanteraka ny fitondrana dia mirodana [ho azy raha mbola manohy ny fanaony izy ireo]. |
26 | But of course, it will take some time. | Saingy mbola ho elaela ihany izany mazava loatra. |
27 | A rotten government, even if it is in name only, can still exist unless it is physically overthrown by some power. | Ny fitondrana lò, na dia hoe anarany fotsiny aza, dia mbola afa-mijoro raha tsy hoe misy fahefana hita maso hafa manongana azy. |
28 | Second scenario: Nationwide anger from ordinary people may erupt or there may be internal power struggles. | Tranga faharoa: mety hipoaka tampoka ny fahatezeran'ny olotsotra na misy ady seza sy fahefana ao amin'ny samy mpitondra ao. |
29 | Who knows? | Iza no mahalala? |
30 | We may see a North Korean version of Ahn Jung-geun or Kim Jaw-kyu. | Mety hahita Koreana tavaratra tahaka an'i Ahn Jung-geun na Kim Jaw-kyu isika. |
31 | [Ahn Joong-gun is a Korean activist who assassinated the Prime Minister of Japan, who was about to annex South Korea; Kim Jaw-kyu was a South Korean Army General who killed former South Korean President, Park Chung-hee, who is remembered both as a competent leader and a dictator.] | [i Ahn Joong-gun dia ilay mpitolona Koreana izay namono ny Praiminisitra Japoney izay eo an-dalam-panjanahana an'i Korea Atsimo; Kim Jaw-kyu indray dia Jeneralin'ny Tafika Koreana Tatsimo namono ny filoha KOreana Tatsimo taloha, Park Chung-hee, izay tsarovana ho sady mahay mitarika no mpanao didy jadona.] |
32 | But the most obvious fact other than these two scenarios is this: Kim Jong-il is old and he will die eventually. | Fa ny zavamisy mivandravandra hafa ankoatra ireo tranga roa ireo dia izao: Antitra i Kim Jong-il ary ho mety faty atsy ho atsy. |
33 | The remaining question is ‘when' and I guess it will be ‘pretty soon'. | Ny fanontaniana sisa dia hoe ‘rahoviana' fa ny antenaiko moa dia hoe ‘efa akaiky dia akaiky'. |
34 | The countdown has already begun in North Korea. | Efa manomboka ny fanisana ny ora farany any Korea Avaratra. |