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1Syria: Military Intervention or Civil War?Syria: Fitsabahana Ara-tafika Sa Ady An-trano?
2This post is part of our special coverage Syria Protests 2011/12. After the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) announcement on July 15, 2012, that it considers the conflict in Syria to be a full-blown civil war, Western media sites and bloggers have launched a debate on the secret benefits to those global powers looking for influence in the region.Taorian'ny fanambaran'ny Kaomity Iraisampirenen'ny Vokovoko Mena (ICRC) tamin'ny 15 Jolay 2012, fa raisiny ho toy ny ady an-trano goavambe ny fifandirana misy ao Syria, ireo tranonkalam-baovao Tandrefana sy ireo bilaogera kosa nanainga adihevitra iray mampiseho masoandro ireo zava-miafin'ny politika sy ny tombontsoa avy amin'ny ady ho an'ireo hery lehibe eran-tany izay mikatsaka ny hanana vahoho any amin'ny faritra.
3The ICRC had previously classed the violence in Syria as localized civil wars between government forces and armed opposition groups in Homs, Hama and Idlib.Tany am-piandohana ny ICRC dia nanasokajy ny herisetra ao Syria ho toy ny ady an-trano voafaritra aminà toerana iray ifanaovan'ny tafiky ny governemanta sy ny mpanohitra mitam-piadiana tao Homs, Hama ary Idlib.
4Moreover, President of the ICRC Jakob Kellenberger said earlier that the international organization is the only one able to operate on the ground in Syria.Ankoatra izay, ny Filohan'ny ICRC Jakob Kellenberger dia niteny, tsy ela akory izay, fa ilay fikambanana iraisam-pirenena no hany tokana afaka miasa eny an-kianja ao Syria.
5In other words, the ICRC has set down the laws of war.Amin'ny teny hafa, ny ICRC dia mampihatra ny lalanan'ny ady (nifanarahana tany Geneve)
6The blog Military In the Middle East, which is dedicated to military hardware in the region, posted five posts under the subject ‘Civil War in Syria,' illustrating military action in the main cities of Syria such as Aleppo and Damascus, among others.Ny bilaogy Military In the Middle East, na Tafika Any Afovoany Atsinanana, izay nanokan-tena amin'ny fitaovam-piadiana any amin'ny faritra, dia nampakatra lahatsoratra dimy mikasika ny lohahevitra “Ady An-trano Ao Syria,” manoritsoritra ny hetsika ara-tafika any amin'ireo tanan-dehibe Siriana toa an'i Aleppo sy Damaskaosy, ankoatra ny hafa.
7In his blog cetri, Alain Gresh wrote a post entitled ‘Civil war or foreign intervention?Ao amin'ny bilaoginy cetri, Alain Gresh dia nanoratra lahatsoratra iray nomeny lohateny hoe “Ady an-trano sa fitsabahan'ny vahiny?
8Deadlock over Syria.'Tampina ny daomy ao Syria”.
9In it he says:Ao anatin'izany izy no milaza hoe :
10There is a new split at the heart of the SNC [Syria National Council], led by people such as Haytham al-Maleh and Kamal al-Labwani, former political prisoners who reject the SNC's foreign alignment.Misy fivakisana ao anivon'ny SNC [Syria National Council, Filan-kevi-pirenena Siriana], tarihin'olona toa an-dry Haytham al-Maleh sy Kamal al-Labwani, gadra politika tany aloha izay tsy mankasitraka ny fiarahan'ny SNC amin'ny vahiny.
11Ammar Qurabi, the former head of Syria's National Organisation for Human Rights and leader of the National Current for Change, has accused the SNC of marginalising Alawite and Turkmen activists.Ammar Qurabi, mpitarika fahiny ny Fikambanam-Pirenena Miaro Ny Zon'Olombelona ao Syria sady mpitarika ny Fireham-Pirenena ho amin'ny Fiovàna, dia niampanga ny SNC ho manilikilika ny Alawite sy ireo mafàna fo Turkmen.
12Syrian Christians, who have watched many Christians flee Iraq, are worried by the rise of the jihadists and the anti-Christian and anti-Alawite slogans chanted by protestors.Ireo Syriana Kristiana, izay nahita Kristiana marobe nandositra an'i Irak, dia manahy amin'ny fiakaran'ny jihadista sy teny fanentanana manenjika Kristiana sy Alawite kiahan'ireo mpanao fihetsiketsehana.
13Others, like Stephen Lendman, reject the theory of civil war in Syria.Ny hafa, toa an'i Stephen Lendman, dia tsy mankasitraka ny hevitra fisian'ny ady an-trano ao Syria.
14He wrote on his blog:Nanoratra izy ao amin'ny bilaoginy :
15American-style freedom is slavery.Ny fahafahana amin'ny endriny Amerikana dia fanandevozana.
16Mainstream discourse doesn't explain.Tsy manazava izany ny resabe mahazatra.
17It repeats long ago discredited notions about humanitarian intervention and responsibility to protect (R2P).Mamerimberina nandritra ny fotoana ela ireo foto-kevitra mikasika ny fitsabahana noho ny maha-olona sy ny andraikitra hiaro na “responsibility to protect (R2P)”.
18Protracted violence and bloodshed hardly reflect it.Tsy ampy hanazavana azy mihitsy raha ny herisetra mitarazoka sy ny rà mandriaka.
19Washington-led Western generated violence ravages Syria.Ny herisetra nataon'ny Tandrefana teo ambany fitarihan'i Washington no nandravarava an'i Syria.
20On Sunday, The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) declared ongoing conflict a civil war.Tamin'ny Alahady, ny Kaomity Iraisampirenen'ny Vokovoko Mena (ICRC) dia nanambara fa ady an-trano ny fifandonana misy amin'izao fotoana.
21He argues that it's not the Syrians' own war, but that of others on their land:Milaza izy fa tsy adin'ny Siriana azy manokana io, fa adin'ny hafa atao eo amin'ny tanin-dry zareo :
22It's not civil when mostly imported proxies are used.Tsy ady an-trano mihitsy io rehefa nafarana avy any an-kafa no betsaka ampiasaina ao.
23Most Syrians deplore violence and oppose internal and external groups committing it.Ny ankamaroan'ny Siriana no tohina amin'ireo herisetra ary manohitra ireo vondrona avy ao anatiny na ivelany manatanteraka azy io.
24On the other hand, other bloggers wrote about Syria's neighbor, Turkey, which was a strong ally to the Syrian regime yet has changed its position towards Syrian President Bashar Al Assad after the early months of the uprising in Syria.Amin'ny lafiny iray, ny bilaogera hafa dia nanoratra mikasika ny mpifanolo-bodirindrina amin'i Syria, i Tiorkia, izay nanana fifamatorana mafy tamin'ny fitondràna Siriana ary nanova ny fomba fijeriny sy ny toerana noraisiny nanoloana ny filoha Siriana Bashar Al Assad nandritra ireo volana voalohany nitrangan'ny fitroarana tao Syria.
25On July 30, the blog A Pseudo-Ottoman Blog: Occasional Musings wrote:Ny 30 Jolay, ny bilaogy - A Pseudo-Ottoman Blog: Occasional Musings - nanoratra hoe :
26Turkey is part and parcel of the Western alliance as a NATO member and close friend of the U.S. Or is that only Israel, as an imported nation state in the Middle East, can be publicly termed a member of the Western powers???Tiorkia dia ao anatiny ary ampahany amin'ireo mpiara-dia Tandrefana amin'ny maha-mpikambana azy ao amin'ny OTAN sady namana akaikin'i Etazonia. Sa tsy misy afa-tsy Israely ve, ho toy ny firenena nafàrana aty Afovoany Atsinanana, no afaka tondroina imasom-bahoaka ho mpikambana ao anatin'ny hery Tandrefana???
27Nevertheless, Doherty and Bakr's [Reuters correspondents] sources clearly show that Turkey is now stepping out of the shadows and has publicly assumed a leading role in the mission to topple the Syrian Baath regime.Na ahoana na ahoana, ireo loharanon'i Doherty sy Bakr [iraky ny Reuters] dia maneho mazava tsara fa miroso miala sarona i Tiorkia izao ary mampiseho ho hitam-bahoaka ny anjara toerany amin'ny maha-mpitarika ny iraka fandrodanana ny fitondràn'ny Baath Siriana azy.
28Michael Blackburnsr supports the idea that the conflict in Syria is a power struggle.Michael Blackburnsr dia manohana ny hevitra hoe ady fahefana ny fifandirana misy ao Syria.
29He wrote:Nanoratra izy hoe :
30There are three main factors that are making a rebel victory seem more likely.Singa telo lehibe no mahatonga ny fandresen”ny mpihoko ho toa mora.
31First, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, with Turkey's facilitation and U.S. coordination, are sending arms to the opposition.Voalohany, Arabia Saodita sy Qatar, miaraka amin'ny fanamorana omen'i Tiorkia sy ny fandrindran'i Etazonia, dia mandefa fitaovam-piadiana ho an'ireo mpanohitra.
32Second, the regime has been rushing the same trusted units around the country to put down upsurges.Faharoa, mandefa haingana ireo andiany mahatoky hanerana ny firenena mba hamotika ireo fihokoana ny fitondràna.
33After many months of battle, these forces are getting tired and stretched thin.Taorian'ny volana maro nitolomana, reraka ihany ireny tafika ireny ary zara raha afa-mihetsika…..
34Third, President Bashar al-Assad really has nothing to offer the opposition.Fahatelo, tena tsy manana azo atolotra ny mpanohitra ny Filoha Bashar al-Assad.
35He won't leave and he can't share power.Tsy hiala izy no sady tsy ho afaka hizara fahefana.
36His strategy of brutal suppression and large-scale killing can neither make the opposition surrender nor wipe it out.Tsy hampilefitra ny mpanohitra na hanafoana azy ny tetikadiny amin'ny famoretana an-kerisetra sy famonoana olona marobe.
37Even if he kills civilians and demonstrators, the rebel military forces can pull back to attack another day.Na dia hamono olon-tsotra sy mpanao fihetsiketsehana aza izy, ny miaramila ao amin'ny tafika mpihoko dia afaka misintaka kely mba hahafahany manafika amin'ny andro hafa.
38Whether Syrians are in a civil war or a foreign intervention, they are falling everyday and more than 20,000 lives have so far been lost.Na anaty ady an-trano ny Siriana, na fitsabahan'ny vahiny, mikororosy isan'andro ry zareo ary maherin'ny 20.000 ny aina efa nafoy hatreto.
39That made the blog POUMISTA ask “Is the conflict in Syria the new Spanish civil war?”: [..]Izany no nahatonga ny bilaogyPOUMISTA hanontany hoe “Ny fifandonana ao Syria ve no ady an-trano Espaniola vaovao? [..]
40Barry Rubin is the latest commentator to suggest that Syria is the Spanish civil war of our time, a contention contested from the right by Daniel Larison.Barry Rubin no mpanadihady farany nihevitra an'i Syria ho ny ady an-trano Espaniola amin'izao vanim-potoanantsika izao, filazana izay toherin'i Daniel Larison avy amin'ny elatra havanana.
41Already in March, veteran journalist Arnaud de Borchgrave had made the same point: Is Syria 2011 the same as Spain 1936Efa tany amin'ny Martsa ilay zokiolona mpanao gazety, Arnaud de Borchgrave, no naneho fomba fijery toy izany: I Syria 2011 ve mitovy amin'i Espaina 1936