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1 | Madagascar Finally Has a New President, But Uncertainty Remains | Nahazo Filoha Vaovao Ihany i Madagasikara, Saingy Mbola Manjazozavo Ny Toe-dRaharaha |
2 | It's official: Hery Rajaonarimampianina, considered a proxy for Madagascar's former President of the Transition Andry Rajoelina, who toppled the country's last democratically elected president in a military-backed coup in 2009, was declared the victor of long-awaited presidential elections by Madagascar's Special Electorate Court (CES). | Ofisialy ankehitriny fa i Hery Rajaonarimampianina, izay heverina fa nasolo ny Filohan'ny Tetezamita eto Madagasikara teo aloha Andry Rajoelina, izay nanaisotra ny filoha voafidy tamin'ny fomba demokratika farany tamin'ny alalan'ny fanonganam-panjakana notohanan'ny miaramila tamin'ny 2009, no nambaran'ny Fitsarana Manokana Momba ny Fifidianana teto Madagasikara (CES) ho mpandresy tamin'ny fifidianana ho filoham-pirenena efa nandrasana hatry ny ela. |
3 | The CES rejected allegations of vote-rigging and demands for a recount from the other candidate, Jean-Louis Robinson. | Notsipahan'ny CES ny filazana fa nisy ny fangalaram-bato sy ny fitakiana hanisana indray ny vato nataon'ilay kandidà hafa, Jean-Louis Robinson. |
4 | The two had faced off in a second round of elections in December 2013 when neither won a clear majority after the initial vote in October. | Niatrika ny fihodinana faharoa ny roa tonta tamin'ny Desambra 2013 rehefa samy tsy nahazo ny maro an'isa mazava tamin'ny fifidianana voalohany tamin'ny oktobra. |
5 | Rajaonarimampianina garnered 53.49 percent of votes in the run-off, while Robinson earned 46.51 percent. | Nahazo ny 53,49 isanjaton'ny vato tamin'ny fihodinana faharoa Rajaonarimampianina, raha 46,51 isanjato kosa ny an'i Robinson. |
6 | Does this mean Madagascar is back on the path to democracy? | Midika ve izany fa miverina mankany amin'ny lalan'ny demokrasia i Madagasikara? |
7 | Are prosperity and peace finally on the horizon for a country marred by chronic instability and a steady descent into poverty? | Ho hita eny amin'ny faravodilanitr'ilay firenena tafahitsoka ao anatin'ny tsy fitombenana hatrany sy ny fikorisana tsy mitsahatra mankany amin'ny fahantrana ihany ve ny fitomboan-karena sy ny fandriampahalemana? |
8 | A straightforward calculation indicates that Rajaonarimampianina would have been elected with barely 25 percent of registered voters using figures delineated in the Madagascar Tribune [fr]: | Ny kajy tsotra dia manondro fa zara raha voafidy tamin'ny 25 isanjaton'ny mpifidy voasoratra anarana monja Rajaonarimampianina raha alaina ny tarehimarika nalahatry ny Madagascar Tribune [fr]: |
9 | Registered: 7,971,790 | Voasoratra anarana: 7.971.790 |
10 | Voting: 4,043,246 | Mpifidy: 4.043.246 |
11 | Invalid ballots: 171,790 | Vato tsy manankery: 171.790 |
12 | Ballots: 3,851,460 | Manankery: 3.851.460 |
13 | Participation rate : 50. | Taham-pandraisana anjara : 50,72% |
14 | 72% Rajaonarimampianina Rakotoarimanana Hery Martial: 2,060,124 (53. | Rajaonarimampianina Rakotoarimanana Hery Martial: 2.060.124 (53,49%) |
15 | 49%) Robinson Richard Jean Louis: 1,790,336 (46. | Robinson Richard Jean Louis: 1.790.336 (46,51%) |
16 | 51%) Screenshot of Hery Rajaonarimampianina during the presidential debate via Malagasy Public Television -Public domain | Pikantsarin'i Hery Rajaonarimampianina nandritra ny adi-hevitr'ireo kandida ho filoha amin'ny alalan'ny televizionam-panjakana Malagasy - Valam-bahoaka |
17 | Beyond that point though, power grabs have rhappened in Madagascar through either street protests and/or military coups, five times since 1972, with the latest in 2009. | Ankoatra io teboka io anefa, mpitranga eto Madagasikara ny fandrombaham-pahefana na tamin'ny alalan'ny fidinana an-dalambe na/sy tamin'ny alalan'ny fanonganam-panjakana ara-miaramila, ary in-dimy izany hatramin'ny 1972, miaraka tamin'ny farany indrindra tamin'ny 2009. |
18 | Were Madagascar's presidential elections truly free and fair? | Marina sy nalalaka tokoa ve ny fifidianana ho filoham-pirenena eto Madagasikara? |
19 | Will they ultimately lead to a period of peace and prosperity for the country? | Hitondra ho any amin'ny vanim-potoanan'ny fahavokarana sy ny fandriampahelamana eto amin'ny firenena ve izy ireny? |
20 | The elections were four years in the making and were welcome by most in the country and in the international community. | Efa-taona no niandrasan'ny maro tato amin'ny firenena sy ny sehatra iraisampirenena ny fifidianana. |
21 | While there were irregularities on voting day, as documented by citizen-based electoral observers Andrimaso and Zahavato, they were not deemed important enough to declare the elections void. | Raha nisy ny fandikan-dalàna nandritra ny androm-pifidianana, araka ny voahangon'ny mpanaramaso ny fifidianana natsangan'olo-tsotra azy ao amin'ny Andrimaso sy ny Zahavato, dia tsy ampy hanafoanana ny fifidianana ny hamaroany. |
22 | There are, however, some valid concerns regarding events especially during the pre-election period. | Saingy, misimisy ihany ny zava-mitranga sasantsasany mampiahiahy indrindra fa talohan'ny fotoanan'ny fifidianana. |
23 | The first of these events being when toppled President Marc Ravalomanana, his wife Lalao Ravalomanana, former President Didier Ratsiraka and coup-maker Andry Rajoelina were all excluded from the elections. | Voalohany amin'izy ireny nanesorana tsy hifidianana ny filoha nesorina Marc Ravalomanana, ny vadiny Lalao Ravalomanana, ny filoha teo aloha Didier Ratsiraka ary ilay nanao ny fanonganam-panjakana Andry Rajoelina. |
24 | In what constitutes the setting of a precedent, Didier Ratsiraka and Lalao Ravalomanana were barred from contesting the elections, based on residential requirements, while exiled in France and South Africa respectively, and barred from returning to the island. | Ao amin'izay zava-nitranga ho arahina amin'ny fifidianana manaraka, ny nanakanana tsy hampifaninana an'i Didier Ratsiraka sy Lalao Ravalomanana, noho ny fepetran'ny faharetan'ny fonenana teto an-tanindrazana, rehefa nialokaloka tany Frantsa sy Afrika Atsimo ho azy ireo, sy voasakana tsy hody an-tanindrazana. |
25 | This hardly seems to be the mark of a burgeoning democracy. | Tsy hita ao amin'izany veilively ny mariky ny fahaterahan'ny demokrasia. |
26 | Andry Rajoelina had deposited his candidacy at the last minute, and was therefore barred from running as well. | Nametraka ny firotsahany hofidiana tamin'ny fotoana farany i Andry Rajoelina, ary dia voasakana tsy hahazo hifaninana ihany koa. |
27 | The NGO Verified Voting posted the following explanation: | Nametraka izao fanazavana manaraka izao ny ONG Verified Voting: |
28 | The court said neither Ravalomanana nor Ratsiraka met the physical residence requirements for candidacy. | Nilaza ny fitsarana fa tsy nahafeno ny fepetra nonenana ara-batana hirotsahany ho filoha na Ravalomanana na Ratsiraka. |
29 | Ravalomanana lives in exile in South Africa, while Ratsiraka has not lived permanently on the island since fleeing to France in 2002. | Niaina an-tsesintany tany Afrika Atsimo Ravalomanana, raha mbola tsy nonina naharitra teto amin'ny nosy hatramin'ny nandosirany ho any Frantsa tamin'ny 2002 Ratsiraka. |
30 | The court said Rajoelina did not register his candidacy during the statutory period. | Nilaza ny fitsarana fa tsy nandrotsaka ny firotsahany ho kandida tao anatin'ny fotoana voatondro Rajoelina. |
31 | Rajoelina said in January that he would not run in this year's elections, but then registered his candidacy in May. | Nilaza Rajoelina fa tsy hifaninana amin'ny fifidianana amin'ity taona ity,saingy nametraka ny firotsahany indray tamin'ny Mey. |
32 | He said he had decided to run because Lalao Ravalomanana's candidacy was the same as having her husband stand. | Nilaza izy fa nanapa-kevitra ny hirotsaka satria mitovy amin'ny hoe firotsahan'ny vadiny ihany ny firotsahan'i Lalao Ravalomanana. |
33 | The Southern African Development Community, a regional bloc of 15 countries, had recommended that neither Ravalomanana nor Rajoelina run as a way of resolving Madagascar's political troubles. | Nibaiko ny SADC, vondrom-paritra ahitana firenena 15, fa tsy mirotsaka na Ravalomanana na Rajoelina ho lalana iray famahana ny olan'ny saritaka politika eto Madagasikara. |
34 | The island of 20 million people has been in political turmoil since Rajoelina, a former DJ, seized power in 2009. | Tao anatin'ny savorovoro politika ilay nosin'ny mponina 20 tapitrisa hatramin'ny nandrombahan-dRajoelina ny fahefana tamin'ny2009. |
35 | Ravalomanana agreed in December not to run. | Nanaiky ny tsy hirotsaka Ravalomanana tamin'ny desambra. |
36 | Five other candidates were also dropped from the list, the court said. | Nesorina tao anatin'ny lisitra ihany koa ny kandida dimy hafa, araka ny filazan'ny fitsarana. |
37 | Secondly, in November, a law was passed allowing Andry Rajoelina to campaign for Hery Rajaonarimampianina, despite obligations that former presidents, democratically elected or not, stay above the fray and neutral. | Faharoa, tamin'ny Novambra, nisy lalàna nolaniana mamela an'i Andry Rajoelina hanentana ho an'i Hery Rajaonarimampianina, na teo aza ny adidy ho an'ny filoha teo aloha, na voafidy ara-pomba demokratika na tsia, tsy hitongilana sy tsy hirotsaka an-tsehatra. |
38 | A blogger on the Malagasy community blog Madonline suspected Rajoelina also had a hand in selecting candidates for the Parliamentary elections [fr] that happened simultaneously with the presidential elections: | Niahiahy ny bilaogera Malagasy iray ao amin'ny bilaogy iraisana Madonline fa suspected Rajoelina also had a nifantina ny kandidà ho amin'ny fifidianana parlemantera [fr] izay niara-notontosaina tamin'ny fifidianana ho filoha ihany koa Rajoelina: |
39 | He is the virtual and all-powerful candidate of these Malagasy elections, his shadow is present both on presidential and legislative elections. | Izy no kandidà virtoaly sy manana ny heriny manontolo ao amin'ity fifidianana ity, satria mihalohalo na eo amin'ny fifidianana ho filoham-pirenena na eo amin'ny fifidianana ho solombavambahoaka hatrany ny alony. |
40 | He is evidently Andry Rajoelina who has acknowledged his paternity of candidate Hery Rajaonarimampianina during the second rounds of the presidential elections, before birthing 117 candidates for the legislatures. | Izy, dia i Andry Rajoelina mazava loatra no nanambara fa izy no nandrotsaka ny kandidà Hery Rajaonarimampianina mba ho lohalaharana amin'ny fihodinana faharoa mialoha ny hiterahany [hamoahany] ny kandidà 117 ho amin'ny solombavambahoaka. |
41 | No, he does not violate the law because he has changed it for the nth time in his favor. | Tsia, tsy nandika lalàna izy satria nanovaova hatrany izany ho amin'ny tombontsoany. |
42 | It is thanks to a law passed during a ministerial meeting that Andry Rajoelina can physically accompany candidates and be seen on campaign material. | Amin'ny alalan'ny didy hitsivolana raisina mandritra ny filankevitry ny minisitra i Andry Rajoelina no nanapa-kevitra fa afa-manatrika mivantana sy eny amin'ny fitaovam-pifandraisan'ny kandidà. |
43 | As the head of institution, he has freed himself from the duty of neutrality and obligation of discretion indicated by the Road Map. | Amin'ny mahafilohan'Andrimpanjakana azy, dia nanafaka ny tenany tsy hitandro ny tsy fitongilanana izy sy ny tokony hipetrahany mangina araka ny voalazan'ny Tondrozotra. |
44 | Thirdly, there are some indications that Andry Rajoelina may attempt to impose himself as a prime minister [fr] a la Vladimir Putin during the Medvedev administration, hinting that a declaration that Madagascar is back on the road to democracy may be premature, as Tsimok'i Gasikara explains: | Fahatelo, misy ny marika sasantsasany fa mety mikasa ny hametraka ny tenany ho praiminisitra [fr] araka ny fanaon'i Vladimir Putin nandritra ny fitondran'i Medvedev [i] Rajoelina, mety ho lasa aloha loatra ny filazana fa niverina ho amin'ny lalana mankany amin'ny demokrasia i Madagasikara, araka ny fanazavan'i Tsimok'i Gasikara azy: |
45 | The camp of non-elected Transitional Presiden Andry Rajoelina, which is imminently winning the presidential elections in Madagascar, has estimated having enough majority to designate the next prime minister, the day after temporary results of legislative elections. | Ny tobin'ny filohan'ny tetezamita tsy voafidy Andry Rajoelina, izay hita fa hahazo ny filoham-pirenena eto Madagasikara, dia nanombana tamin'ny asabotsy, ny ampitson'ny fivoahan'ny vokatra vonjimaikan'ny fifidianana ho solombavambahoaka, fa mahazo ny maro an'isa ampy hanondroana ny praiminisitra manaraka. |
46 | “Based on our estimates, we have 53 representatives, but this can climb up to 58 after recounts”, Jean de Dieu Maharante told the AFP. | “Araka ny fanombananay, dia nahatafiditra depiote 53 izahay, saingy mety hahatratra hatrmin'ny 58 izany isa izany aorian'ny fanamarinana”, hoy i Jean de Dieu Maharante tamin'ny AFP. |
47 | Maharente is the president of the group of Mapar candidates, Mapar meaning “With the President Andry Rajoelina” in French. | Maharante no filohan'ny vondrona kandidà mialokaloka ao anatin'ny loko Mapar, Mapar izay fanalavana ny hoe “Miaraka amin'ny Prezida Andry Rajoelina”. |
48 | Screen shot of Hery Rajaonarimampianina and Andry Rajoelina during the presidential campaign. | Pikantsary ahitana an'i Hery Rajaonarimampianina sy i Andry Rajoelina nandritra ny fanentanana hampifidy filohampirenena. |
49 | Via Mandimby Maharo with permission | Avy amin'i Mandimby Maharo nahazoana alalana |
50 | During the election, other unorthodox events happened. | Nandritra ny fifidianana, maro ny zavatra tsy mifanaraka amin'ny fahamendrehana nitranga. |
51 | The first being the unexplained addition of 140,000 voters to the electoral list between the first and second rounds. | Ny voalohany amin'izany ny fisian'ny mpifidy 140.000 fanampiny ao anatin'ny lisitra tanelanelan'ny fihodinana voalohany sy faharoa izay tsy voazava. |
52 | Who knows how many voters were suppressed from electoral votes and denied their electoral rights? | Iza no mahalala hoe firy ny mpifidy nesoka tsy navela hanatontosa ny zony hifidy? |
53 | Another unexplained and alarming fact is the murky origins of electoral funds. | Zavamisy hafa tsy voazava sady manaitra ihany koa ny tsy fahafantarana ny niavian'ny vola nampiasaina hanaovana propagandy. |
54 | Money poured in from all sides during the campaign. Electoral laws are not in place to regulate financial campaign. | Niraradraraka avy amin'ny andaniny sy ny ankilany avy ny vola nandritra ny fanentanana [fanazavan'ny mpandika lahatsoratra: fampielezan-kevitra moa no fiteny mahazatra saingy izany tokoa ve no naely?]. |
55 | For the purpose of comparison, it is good to note that more than 90 percent of Madagascar's population survives on less than two US dollars a day. | Tsy mipetraka ny lalàna famerana ny tetibolam-panentanana. Mba hanaovana ny fampitahana, tsara ny manamarika fa mihoatra ny 90 isanjaton'ny mponina eto Madagasikara no zara fa velomin'ny vola latsaky ny roa dolara US isan'andro. |
56 | However, Rajaonarimampianina is reported to have spent 43 million US dollars [fr]: | Na izany aza anefa, Rajaonarimampianina dia nisy nitatitra fa nandany vola 43 tapitrisa dolara US [fr]: |
57 | Thanks to his war chest of 43 million US dollars, considered the largest campaign budget, the candidate has successfully established outposts throughout the whole island. | Noho ny fananany tahirimbola enti-miady mitentina 43 tapitrisa US dolara, izay heverina ho ny tetibolam-panentanana ho amin'ny fifidianana lehibe indrindra, dia afa-nametraka ny solontenany nanerana ny nosy manontolo izy. |
58 | Famously, another unsuccessful candidate, Camille Vital, saw his donated 350 SUVs blocked at the port of Toamasina. | Malaza ihany koa, kandidà iray hafa tsy nahazo fahombiazana, Camille Vital, dia nahita ny fanomezana fiara tsy mataho-dalana 350 azony tafahitsoka tao amin'ny seranan'i Toamasina. |
59 | Post-election, Vital, Rajoelina's former prime minister, who backed Robinson during the second round, is not allowed to leave Madagascar. | Taorian'ny fifidianana i Vital izay praiminisitr'i Rajoelina teo aloha, izay nanohana an'i Robinson nandritra ny fihodinana faharoa, dia tsy navela handao an'i Madagasikara. |
60 | Yet again, another worrying sign that democracy may not have fully arrived in Madagascar [fr], via Malango news: | Izany fanohintohinana hafa izany indray dia marika fa mety ho tsy feno ny fahatongavan'ny demokrasia eto Madagasikara [fr], araka ny Malango actualité: |
61 | At the end September, 350 SUVs are blocked at the port of Toamasina, together with hundreds of thousands of t-shirts with his portrait. | Tamin'ny faran'ny volana Septambra, fiara tsy mataho-dalana 350 no nahitsoka tao amin'ny seranan-tsambon'i Toamasina, sy t-shirt misy ny sariny an-hetsiny. |
62 | The supplied documentation rises customs officers' suspicion. | Ny antonta-taratasy natolotra no nanaitra ny ahiahin'ny fadin-tseranana izay nitaky fanazavana. |
63 | According to the candidate, they were a non-refundable donation by a foreign friend convinced by his policy founded on fast reestablishment of security in the country. | Araka ny filazan'ilay kandidà, dia fanomezana tsy averina sy tsy misy takalony avy amin'ny namana vahiny iray resy lahatra tamin'ny fandaharan'asany miompana amin'ny famerenana haingana ny fandriampahalemana eto amin'ny firenena io. |
64 | There are signs that people are exhausted by the long crisis. | Maro ny famantarana fa sempotry ny fahalavan'ny krizy ny olona. |
65 | As reported on All Africa: | Hoy ny tatitra ao amin'ny All Africa: |
66 | People might also be tired of interminable political disputes. | Mety ho leon'ny fifandirana politika tsy mety tapitra ihany koa ny olona. |
67 | Some indication of this, and of people's disillusionment with their current leadership, is the low voter turnout during the December elections, which was just over 50%. | Marika sasantsasany amin'izany, sy fahadisoam-panantenan'ny olona amin'ny fitondrana ankehitriny, ny fahambanian'ny taham-pandraisana anjaran'ny fifidianana tamin'ny volana desambra, izay zara raha nihoatra ny 50%. |
68 | Paul-Simon Handy, Head of the ISS Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis Division, says the low voter turnout in the second round is reminiscent of other post-crisis countries where the electorate is exhausted by protracted political disputes. | Nilaza i Paul-Simon Handy, Lehiben'ny Diviziona Mpanadihady ny Risika sy ny Fisorohana ny Fifandirana ao amin'ny ISS, fa fampahatsiahivan'ny vokatry ny krizy hafa eto amin'ny firenena leon'ny gidragidra politika ny fahambanian'ny taham-pandraisana anjara tamin'ny fihodinana faharoa. |
69 | ‘As much as people want a legitimate government, they've simply had enough of political disputes and they see that what is on offer in terms of candidates as the recycling of the same political elite.' | ‘Na dia tian'ny tian'ny vahoaka aza ny hisian'ny governemanta ara-dalàna, dia leon'ny fifandirana politika tsotra izao ry zareo ary hitan-dry zareo fa fampifandimbiasana ireo avy amin'ny vato nasondrotry ny tany ara-politika efa nisy ihany atolotra ho kandidà.' |
70 | Only one day after the formal proclamation of Rajaonarimampianina's victory, Robinson was already calling for protests: | Andro iray monja taoria'ny nanambarana ny fandresen'i Rajaonarimampianina dia nianto ho amin'ny fihetsiketseham-panoherana sahady i Robinson: |
71 | #mdg2013 @DrRobinsonJL calls for a Huge demonstration in Magro places tomorrow ! and claims the CONFRONTATION/ result pic.twitter.com/dZ9cyZ9gwn | Miantso ho amin'ny fanaovana fihetsiketsehana lehibe ao amin'ny kianjan'i Magro @DrRobinsonJL rahampitso ! ary mitaky ny hanaovana fampitahana ny voka-pifidianana. |
72 | - Madagascar Sondage (@MSondage) January 17, 2014 All eyes are on Rajaonarimampianina to see if and how he intends to honor his electoral promise to restore stability and work together with the people to lift Madagascar out of poverty. | Mitodika any amin'i Rajaonarimampianina ny mason'ny rehetra hijery raha sy ahoana ny ataony hanatontosany ny nampanantenainy nandritra ny fanentanana hamerina ny fitoerana tsara sy hiarahany miasa amin'ny vahoaka hanesorana an'i Madagasikara hiala amin'ny fahantrana. |
73 | Is Rajaonarimampianina his own man, and can he stand on his own, despite being seen as a Rajoelina proxy? | Tompon'ny tenany ve Rajaonarimampianina, ary afa-mijoro amin'ny heviny manokana, na dia eo aza ny fahitana azy ho akaiky an-dRajoelina? |
74 | The Malagasy people deserve a government and a president who knows that being elected with only 25 percent of registered voters means he has to work inclusively with other camps, reconcile all Malagasy people, and refrain from a Putin scenario. | Mendrika governemanta sy filoha mahafantatra fa voafidin'ny 25 isanjaton'ny nisoratra hifidy monja ny vahoaka Malagasy izay midika fa mila miasa miaraka amin'ny vondrona hafa izy, mampihavana ny vahoaka Malagasy rehetra, ary tsy hiditra amin'ny tranga nataon'i Putin. |