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1Latin America after Chávez: Change and ContinuityAmerika Latinina Aorian'ny Nahafatesan'i Chávez: Fanovana sy Fanohizana
2This post is part of our International Relations & Security coverage.Sarin'i Hugo Chavez amin'ny rindrina ao Caracas, Venezuela.
3Hugo Chavez mural in Caracas, Venezuela.Saripikan'i mwausk ao amin'ny flickr (CC BY 2.0)
4Photo by mwausk on flickr (CC BY 2.0) As a staunch critic of the United States and a leading figure of the left-wing revival across Latin America, Hugo Chávez Frías has undoubtedly left a remarkable footprint on contemporary international politics.Amin'ny maha-mpitsikera mavitrika an'i Etazonia sy amin'ny maha-mpitarika nampifoha indray ny antoko ankavia azy manerana an'i Amerika Latinina, tsy isalasalana fa namela dia miavaka eo amin'ny politika iraisampirenena iainana amin'izao fotoana i Hugo Chávez Frías.
5But what will come of his legacy?Saingy hanao ahoana kosa ny lova navelany?
6As Venezuela mourns and a new election campaign commences, many are asking questions about the future of political relations in Latin America, a region where Chávez is credited with strong leadership.Raha misaona sy miditra amin'ny fampielezan-kevitra i Venezuela, maro ny manontany momba ny hoavin'ny fifandraisana ara-politika any Amerika Latinina, renim-paritra ananan'i Chávez lazam-pitarihana matanjaka.
7Antonio J.Manoratra i Antonio J.
8Vázquez from Passim blog writes:Vázquez avy ao amin'ny Passim blog :
9As for foreign relations, with Maduro as president it does not appear that regional and transoceanic relationships will change.Eo amin'ny sehatry ny fifandraisana iraisam-pirenena, tsy atahorana hisy fiovana ny fifandraisana ao amin'ny renim-paritra sy mahatratra ny moron'ny ranomasimbe roa raha i Maduro no filoha.
10The influence in the [Latin America] region will be maintained at the same level, as long as there is oil and money.Ho voatazona hatrany ny ambaindainy manerana ny renim-paritra [Amerika Latinina] raha mbola misy ny solika sy ny vola.
11Venezuela will continue to export barrels [of oil] to Cuba at gift prices, and will continue trading at preferential prices with countries of its natural [political] environment, beyond the geographical.Hanondrana barikan-tsolika amin'i Cuba amin'ny vidiny toy ny fanomezana ihany i Venezuela, ary hifampiraharaha aminy vidiny mora kokoa amin'ireo firenena mitovy firehana aminy, izay tsy miankina amin'ny fangitra jeografika misy azy.
12This is likely to be welcomed beyond Havana.Izay moa no heverina ho tadiavin'ny hatrany Havana [renivohitr'i Cuba, dia ny hahalany ho filoha an'i Maduro].
13Currently, twenty Latin American and Caribbean countries continue to benefit from Venezuela's Petrocaribe [es] program of energy subsidies and preferential oil prices.Firenena Amerikana Latinina sy Karaiba roapolo amin'izao fotoana izao no mahazo tombontsoa amin'ny fandaharan'asan'i Venezuela antsoina hoe Petrocaribe [es] izay manome fanohanana sy vidin-tsolika manokana eo amin'ny sehatry ny angovo.
14These include the economically devastated Haiti.Tafiditra anatin'ireo i Haiti, firenena potika tanteraka ara-toekarena.
15Along with his “anti-American” discourse, Chávez also attempted to boost integration processes across Latin America.Miara-dalana amin'ny kabariny “anti-Amerikana” ihany koa ny fiezahan'i Chávez hampiroborobo ny fametrahana tambajotra iraisana manerana an'i Amerika Latinina.
16The Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) and The Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA) are, perhaps, the two leading examples of Chavez's attempts to use regional organizations to circumvent the power and influence of the United States.Ny Fikambanan'ny Firenena Amerikana latinina sy Karaiba (CELAC) sy ny Fiaraha-mientana Bolivariana Ho an'ny Vahoakan'i Amerikantsika (ALBA), angamba, no ohatra roa lehibe indrindra amin'ny fiezahan'i chavez hanangana fikambanana hidifiana amin'ny hery sy ny tanjak'i Etazonia.
17The question now is whether Maduro or another politician will lead the region according to Chavez's legacy, or more moderately.Ny fanontaniana amin'izao fotoana izao dia hoe hanohy araka izay nataon'i Chavez ve i Maduro na mpanao politika hafa, sa somary halefaka kokoa.
18Manu García, a supporter of the so-called ‘Bolivarian' process led by Chávez over the last 14 years, appears to want continuity and change:Tahaka ny mitady ny fanohizana sy ny fiovana i Manu García, mpanohana ny lazaina ho lalana ‘Bolivariana' notarihan'i Chávez nihoatra ny 14 taona:
19However, the excessive personalization of ‘the process of change' is concerning.Saingy mampanahy ny fampiasana tafahoatra ny fandraisana ho an'ny tena manokana ny ‘fizotram-piovana' (na lalana mankany amin'ny fiovana).
20The Bolivarian process should consolidate a collective leadership if it does not wish to perish in the struggle for the legacy of the deceased.Tokony hanamafy ny fitarihana iraisana ny fombafomba bolivariana raha tsy te-hanjavona ao amin'ny tolom-pandovana ny nodimandry.
21The challenge is to be a real process and ‘Bolivarian' rather than merely a facade and “chavism”.Ny fanamby dia ny haha-tena fanao sy ‘Bolivariana' azy fa tsy ho endrika ivelan'ny « chavisma » fotsiny
22Others doubt that this could happen.Misalasala ny hitrangan'izany ny hafa.
23Carlos Malamud, a researcher from the Real Instituto Elcano, concludes:Mamehy i Carlos Malamud, mpikaroka avy ao amin'ny Real Instituto Elcano:
24A new continental myth may have emerged after the death of Hugo Chávez, even comparable to that of Che Guevara or Simón Bolívar.Mety hisy angano vaovao indray hipongatra taorian'ny fahafatesan'i Hugo Chávez, mety hifampitaha amin'i Che Guevara na Simón Bolívar aza.
25That is not the issue at this stage.Tsy izay moa no tena resaka ankehitriny.
26What is clear is that beyond his remembrance, Chávez's continental leadership is non-transferable and currently there is no one in Latin America with the charisma, the resources, and the favorable agenda to take his place.Ny mazava ankoatra ny fahatsiarovana azy, tsy mety afindra ny fahaiza-mitarika ananan'i Chávez tamin'ny kaontinanta ary amin'izao fotoana izao dia tsy misy olon-kafa eto Amerika Latinina hanana herimpanahy, fahaizana ary fandaharan'asa politika mety hahasolo toerana azy
27This post and its translations to Spanish, Arabic and French were commissioned by the International Security Network (ISN) as part of a partnership to seek out citizen voices on international relations and security issues worldwide.Novatsian'ny International Security Network (ISN) ity lahatsoratra (teny anglisy) ity sy ny dikantsorany amin'ny teny frantsay, arabo ary espaniola ho fiaraha-miasa amoahana ny feon'olo-tsotra eo amin'ny fifandraisana iraisam-pirenena sy ny filaminana ankapobeny.
28This post was first published on the ISN blog, see similar stories here.Tao amin'ny bilaogy ISN no navoaka voalohany ny lahatsoratra ary azonao jerena eto ireo tantara hafa mifandraika amin'izany