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1 | Syria: The Revolution and the Economy | Syria: Ny Revolisiona sy ny Toekarena |
2 | This post is part of our special coverage Syria Protests 2011. | Ity lahatsoratra ity dia ampahany amin'ny tatitra manokana ataonay momba ny Hetsi-panoherana ao Syria 2011. |
3 | On Friday 24 June, 2011, Syria marked the 100th day since the start of the country's protest movement. | Ny Zoma teo (24/06), nanamarika ny andro faha 100 hatramin'ny nanombohan'ny hetsi-panoherana i Syria. |
4 | Protests every Friday have become almost a ritual. | Lasa fomba fanao isaky ny zoma ny hetsi-panoherana. |
5 | But there's another side to the story. | Saingy misy endriny hafa ihany koa ilay tantara. |
6 | For 100 days the country's economy has been frozen. | Nandritra ny 100 andro dia kofona koa ny toekaren'ny firenena. |
7 | Commerce has halted to a standstill and the coming tourist season does not look good. | Tsy nandroso tsy nihemotra ny toekarena ary ny vanim-potoanan'ny fizahantany vao mitsidika io dia tsy mamelom-panantenana. |
8 | In addition to that, thousands of frightened Syrians have been changing their savings from Syrian pounds to US dollars or Euros, putting an enormous pressure on the Syrian pound. Syrian pounds. | Fanampin'izany, an'aliny ireo Siriana velon'ahiahy ka namadika ny tahiriny hiala amin'ny “Syrian pounds” hanjary dolara amerikana na Euros, nahatonga ny vola Siriana hizaka tsindry mavesatra. |
9 | Image by Flickr user shellfish (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0). | |
10 | In fact for a period of 48 hours in the beginning of April, the pound lost almost 10 per cent of its value, sparking fears of an eminent meltdown. Meltdown threat? | Ny marina dia tao anatin'ny 48 ora voalohany tamin'ny volana Aprily, very 10 isan-jato tamin'ny sandany teo aloha ny vola Siriana, niteraka tahotra ny amin'ny hisian'ny fitotongànana goavana. |
11 | The Syrian Central Bank has been successful so far in keeping the currency from dangerous devaluation. | Hatreto aloha dia tafavoaka velona ihany ny banky foibe Siriana amin'ny fitazonana ny sandam-bola tsy hitotongana. |
12 | But with the new measures announced by the president in hist first speech in March; raising salaries, and raising the state's oil subsidies, and without any significant tax income, many have been pondering the possibility that the country might go bankrupt. | Saingy noho ilay fepetra vaovao nambaran'ny filoha nandritra ny kabariny voalohany tamin'ny Martsa; fampiakarana karama, fampiakarana ny famatsiam-bolan'ny fanjakana amin'ny vidin-tsolika, ary ny tsy fisian'ny hetra miditra sy efa zara raha misy, be no mihevitra fa mety ho tonga amin'ny tsy fananam-bola ny firenena. |
13 | Many in the opposition are even working hard towards that goal. | Maro amin'ireo ao anatin'ny fanoherana aza no miafa mafy hahatongavana amin'izany. |
14 | Their argument is that an economic meltdown will deal a fatal blow to the regime, and will make everybody turn against him. | Ny tohankevitr'izy ireo dia ny hoe ny fitontonganan'ny toekarena dia ho lefona ivoho hanaisotra ny mpitondra, ary hanosika ny rehetra hifototra hanohitra azy. |
15 | Others, however, are very skeptical of that scenario. | Ny sasany, na izany aza, dia kely finoana ihany amin'izay foendri-dalao izay. |
16 | Syrian blogger, nuffsilence, argues such: | Ilay Siriana bilaogera, nuffsilence, dia miteny hoe: |
17 | To be honest, I'm not so sure how an economical collapse will help anything. | Raha tsorina ny marina, tsy resy lahatra loatra aho hoe fomba hahitàna vonjy ny fanapotehana ara-toekarena. |
18 | If the regime is strong enough to survive the protests, then it may also weather another crisis. | Raha matanjaka tsara ny fitondràna miatrika ny hetsi-panoherana, dia mbola mety hanana hery koa izy hiatrehana olana hafa. |
19 | A fall of the regime isn't a sure result were the market to crumble and fall. | Ny firodanana'ny fitondràna tsy voatery ho avy amin'ny fitotonganana sy fahapotehan'ny tsena. |
20 | We shouldn't forget that Mugabe and Saddam survived both and more. | Tsy tokony hoadinointsika fa Mugabe sy Saddam dia samy nahavita niaina izany ela sy bebe kokoa mihitsy. |
21 | Mugabe, especially, had seen to it that his country's economy was beyond repair, and yet, it didn't inflict much damage on his power grip. | Mugabe, indrindra indrindra, dia nahavita nanao izay hamotehana ny toekaren'ny fireneny ka hanjary ho sarotra harenina, kanefa, tsy dia nisy fiantraikany loatra teo amin'ny fifehezany ny fahefana izany. |
22 | Syrian economist, and frequent guest-blogger at Prof. Joshua Landis' Syria Comment, Ehsani, tried to answer these questions about the future of the Syrian economy: | Syriana mpahay toekarena, sady matetika no manoratra amin'ny bilaogin'ny Prof. Joshua Landis, Syria Comment, Ehsani, dia niezaka ny hamaly an‘ireto fanontaniana ireto mikasika ny hoavin'ny toekarena Siriana: |
23 | Is bringing down the economy and bankrupting the country a realistic danger? | Moa ve tena lozabe tokoa ny famotehana ny toekarena sy ny fanaovana izay tsy hananan'ny firenena vola ? |
24 | And as for the Lira. | Ary mikasika ny Lira (Avy amin'ny mpandika: iantsoana ny vola fampiasa any). |
25 | Is there a way to manipulate the currency from outside the country? | Misy ve fomba ahafahana mamiravira azy io avy any ivelan'ny firenena? |
26 | Is it technically possible to put pressure on the Lira from governments outside? | Azo atao ara-teknika ve izany hoe manao tsindry amin'ny Lira izany ireo governemanta any ivelany? |
27 | On the main economic challenges, he says: | Amin'ny fanamby lehibe ho an'ny toekarena dia hoy izy: |
28 | Syria's economic challenge is twofold: | Zava-droa loha ny olan'ny toekarena Siriana: |
29 | Some of the commenters however had a more optimistic view of the crisis; Why Discuss says, in his reply to Ehsani: | Na izany aza, ny sasany amin'ireo mpitondra fanamarihana dia mba velom-panantenana ihany mommba ilay olana; Why Discuss dia miteny hoe, ao amin'ny valintenin'ny ho an'i Ehsani: |
30 | This is the best time to buy SP! | Fotoana mety izao mba hividianana SP! |
31 | I'll do that now. | Izany izao no hataoko. |
32 | It gives 9% in the bank, while the Euro is eroding. | Hahazoan'ny banky 9% io, raha mitambotsitra ny Euro. Mba fampieritreretana fotsiny. |
33 | Just a thought Contrary to the western countries, Syria never lived beyond its means. | Mifanohitra amin'ireo firenena tandrefana, tsy mbola niaina mihitsy mihoatra noho izay azony atoraka i Syria. |
34 | Except for the a few westernized Syrians, usually Syrians are frugal and they are not into the vicious circle of consumerism. | Afa-tsy Siriana vitsivitsy nahazo ny fomba tandrefana, raha ny mahazatra, ny Siriana dia zatra mampihatra ny fitsitsiana ary dia tsy tafiditra mihitsy ao anatin'ny faribolan'ny fanjifàna. |
35 | The next few years in Syria won't be worse than Greece or Spain and Portugal, don't you think? | Tsy ho sarotra manao ahoana noho ny any Gresy sy Espana ary Portiogaly anefa ny taona ho avy raha ny ao Syria, sa ahoana ho y ianao?? |