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1Canada: High Stakes in Quebec General Election After ‘Maple Spring’Québec : Fifidianana Solombavambahoaka Mafampàna Taorian'ny Lohataona “québécois”
2The 2012 Quebec general election is set to take place on September 4. It will appoint the members of the 40th state legislature of the National Assembly of Quebec.Hatao amin'ny 4 Septambra 2012 izao ny fifidianana solombavam-bahoaka 2012 any Quebec. Hifidianana ireo solombavambahoaka andiany faha-40 ho ao amin'ny Antenimieram-pirenen'i Québec izy io.
3The latest polls show that the Independentists of Parti Québécois (PQ), a political party that advocates national sovereignty are in the lead.Ireo fitsapan-kevitra farany dia maneho fa ireo mpitaky fizakan-tena avy amin'ny antoko Parti Québécois (PQ) no mitarika.
4Political life in Quebec has long been molded by the feuds between Federalists and Independentists.Ny fifaninanana eo amin'ny federalista sy ny mpitaky fizakan-tena no nandrafitra hatry ny fiainana ara-politikan'i Québec.
5This year however, the effects of students' strikes in response to the increase in university tuition fees [fr] will strongly impact on the voters' choices.Saingy tamin'ity taona ity, ny vokatry ny fitokonan'ireo mpianatra ho setrin'ny fiakaran'ny vola samihafa fandoa eny amin'ny anjerimanontolo dia ho singa iray lehibe amin'ny safidin'ireo mpandatsa-bato.
6Netizens from Quebec have reacted to the opinion polls a few weeks ahead of the vote.Maneho hevitra momba ilay fitsapan-kevitra ireo mpikirakira aterineto ao Québec, herinandro vitsy mialoha ny fifidianana.
7Embruns blog provides a portrait of the political landscape in Quebec [fr] and the current balance of forces:Ny efitrano fivorian'ny Antenimieram-pirenen'ny Parlemanta ao Québec avy amin'ny Wikipédia CC-license-3.
8The Hall of the National Assembly of Quebec Parliament via Wikipédia CC-license-3.0 Embruns dia manolotra famintinana ny tontolo politika ao Quebec sy ireo hery mpifanandrina :
90. The voting system in Quebec favours the big political parties, but this voting system does not provide any guarantee that it will bring out a clear majority and it makes life very tough for smaller political parties.Ny fomba fifidianana ao Quebec dia manome tombon-dahiny ho an'ireo antoko lehibe, na dia tsy ahazoana antoka loatra ny ho fahazoana ny maro an'isa mazava tsara aza, ary tena manao toetra tsy zaka amin'ireo antoko madinika.
10The incumbing government got support from only 24% of the registered voters.Ny governemanta eto an-toerana dia tsy nahazo afa-tsy 24% amin'ny fanohanana'ireo mpifidy voasoratra anarana.
11With high abstention and the current voting system, one wonders how representative of the people the National Assembly really is. In fact, some citizens are campaigning for a proportional representation.Eo amin'ny fibodoana tsy hifidy sy ny rafi-pifidianana, ity faharoa no mamahana amin'ny ampahany iry voalohany, mipetraka araka izany ny fanontaniana momba ny hoe iza no ho maro an'isa ao amin'ny Antenimieram-pirenena ary mitolona ho amin'ny fifandanjan-kery ny olom-pirenena sasany.
12Even if they do not agree with all his ideas, many Quebeckers would deem it a pity for someone like Amir Khadir of the small left-wing party Québec solidaire (‘Quebec solidarity') to not get a seat at the Assembly.Tsy dia mirona loatra amin'ireny hevitra ireny, marobe ireo Quebecois no mahita fa mety hampalahelo fa tsy hahita seza na iray aza ao amin'ny antenimiera i Amir Khadir avy amin'ny antoko kelin'ny elatra ankavia ‘Québec solidaire', ary dia miainga amin'izany ny hamaroan-kevitra sy ny fifangaroam-pijery samihafa. [..]
13That would indeed shrink the richness of debates and the diversity of opinions. [..]Araka ny fitsapan-kevitra iray natao tamin'ny 2010, Amir Khadir no olon'ny politika nolalàin'ireo Québécois.
14According to an opinion poll conducted in 2010, Amir Khadir was at the time the favourite political figure in Quebec.Nidina anefa izany hatreto, saingy mbola ao foana ilay firaiketam-pon'ireo Québécois amin'ny maha-izy azy ary avy amin'ireo tanora manokana, indrindra taorian'ny nibabeny 100% ny hetsika “Lohataona québécois”.
15His popularity has since declined, but he is still liked by many in Quebec, especially by young people after he completely embraced the “Quebec Spring” movement.Aty amin'ny misandratr'andron'ny fifidianana, ny lohataona québécois (na ‘printemps érable') dia mbola velona hatrany ao an-tsaina.
16On the eve of these elections, the Quebec Spring (also called, in French, printemps érable [‘maple spring', the symbol tree of Canada, and a pun to link the movement to the Arab Spring] ) is in everyone's mind.
17After all, this early election comes as a result of the longest strike in Quebec's history.Ity fifidianana mialoha ny fotoana ity dia tsy inona fa vokatry ny fitokonana lavareny teo amin'ny tantaran'i Québec.
18Mireille Fournier explains [fr]:Mireille Fournier no manazava :
19After dismissing Parliament, the P.M. of Quebec province, Jean Charest announced that early parliamentary elections would be hold next September.Taorian'ny nandravàna ny Parlemanta, nambaran'ny Praiminisitry ny faritanin'i Québec, Jean Charest ny hisian'ny fifidianana solombavambahoaka mialoha ny fotoana amin'ny Septambra ho avy izao.
20In Quebec, there are no fixed date for elections. This rule would have allowed the government to stay in place until the end of 2012.Tsy atao aminà andro mitovy ny fifidianana any Québec, izay no ahafahan'ny governemanta mipetraka amin'ny toerany hatramin'ny faran'ny 2012.
21But with the start of the new school year (on Aug. 15) looming, the Prime Minister had no choice but to relinquish his duties and ask the people to give their verdict on the legitimacy of his government.Saingy manoloana ny fanakaikezan'ny fidiran'ny taom-pianarana , ny 15 Aogositra, voatery ny Praiministra namoy ny andraikiny sy nangataka ny vahoaka hilaza ny heviny amin'ny maha-lanim-bahoaka na tsia ny governemantany.
22The students' protest in Montreal, May 22, 2012.ny fihetsiketsehan'ireo mpianatra tamin'ny 22 mai 2012 tao Montréal.
23Photo by Justin Ling (CC-license- BY- 3.0)Sary avy amin'i Justin Ling (CC-license- BY- 3.0)
24She also highlights the subtleties of this election [fr]:Manazava ihany koa izy mikasika ny zava-baovaon'ity fifidianana ity :
25To understand what is at stake in this election and with the context of the students crisis, you must be familiar with some aspects of political life in Quebec.Mba hanakàrana ny lanjan'ity fifidianana atao anaty olana it, tsara ny mifankazatra amin'ireo endrika sasantsasan'ny politika ao Quebec.
26All sovereignist political parties deem themselves officially social-democratic parties and support to some varying degrees the students' cause, whereas the federalist parties are both standing up for the center-right liberal ideology and are deaf to the students' demands.Ireo antoko rehetra mpandaàla ny fiandrianam-pirenena dia samy miteny amin'ny fomba ofisialy daholo ho “sociaux-démocrates” ary manohana amin'ny dingana samihafa ny tolon'ireo mpianatra, raha toa kosa samy miaro ny ideolôjia liberalin'ny afovoany-ankavanana sy mikatona amin'ny fitakian'ny mpianatra ireo antoko federalista.
27As a result, a deep political void grew in Quebec : there are no alternative that would allow people to vote for the left without supporting the notion of [Quebec's] independence.Vokatr'izany dia misy fahabangàna ara-politika lalim-be ao Québec : Tsy mety ny hifidy ny ankavia nefa tsy hanohana ny idealin'ireo mpitaky fizakan-tena.
28Aside from the poor diversity of views inside the political parties of Quebec, our political system has got another problem: the discrepancy between the weight of voters living in cities and that of voters living in the countryside.Raha tsy horaisina ny tsy fisian'ny hamaroam-pijery ao amin'ireo antoko politika ao Quebec, olana iray hafa eo amin'ny rafitra ara-politikantsika ny fiparitadritahana misy eo amin'ny lanjan'ireo mpifidy miaina an-tanàn-dehibe manoloana ireo miaina any ambanivohitra.
29As a matter of fact, the electoral map does not take into account the rising density of urban population and gives advantage to some rural areas at the expense of the cities.Amin'izay indrindra, ny kara-pifidianana tsy mandray anaty kajy ny fitomboan'isan'ireo mpifidy an-tanàn-dehibe dia manome vahana ireo faritra sasany miohatra amin'ny tanàn-dehibe.
30Despite the voting system, the students are expected to play a key role [fr] in the results of the poll:Na eo aza io fomba fifidiana io, dia azo saintsainina ny hoe hitàna anjara toerana fototra amin'ny valim-pifidianana ireo mpianatra :
31Usually, young people in Quebec massively abstain from voting in the legislative elections, but if all of the 2 million people aged between 18 and 35 vote and express the wishes the “printemps érable” (“Quebec spring”) in the voting booth, they might make a difference in the results of the Sept. 4 election. [..]Raha ny mahazatra, efa fanaon'ireo tanora ao Quebec ny manao fibodoana faobe rehefa fifidianana solombavambahoaka, saingy ny vaton'ireo eo anelanelan'ny 18-35 taona miisa roa tapitrisa, raha avadik'izy ireo ho any anaty vata fandatsaham-bato ny “printemps érable” an-dry zareo, dia mety hanova ny vokatry ny fifidianana amin'ny 4 septambra. [..]
32Still, despite the important civic involvement of young Quebeckers during the past seven months, youth abstention is a strong “secular trend”, says Michel Venne, executive manager of Institut du nouveau monde (INM, Institute for the New World).Naohatra aza hoe mety manana lanja lehibe, miaraka amin'ny hetsiky ny mpianatra, ny traikefa amin'ny maha-olom-pirenena an'ireo tanora ao Quebec nandritra ny fito volana farany, “firehana mavesatra” ny tranganà fibodoana ataon'ny tanora, hoy i Michel Venne, talen'ny Institut du nouveau monde (INM), manazava.
33He adds : “Four Quebeckers out of ten do not vote anymore.“Efatra amin'ny folo ireo Québécois no tsy mifidy intsony.
34The problem is hitting appalling heights among the youth.Ny olana dia ny fifandanjan'isa mampiasa saina eo amin'ireo tanora.
35In an ageing society, it is a political suicide for a generation”.Anatinà fiarahamonina andalam-pahanterana iray, tena famonoan-tena ara-politika ho an'ny taranaka ho avy izany”, hoy ny fanehoan-keviny.
36The students' movement will weigh both ways on the election, as many people in Quebec think that the students' grievances are baseless.Ho antsy roalela ny lanjan'ny fitokonan'ny mpianatra amin'io fifidianana io. Amin'izany, marobe ireo ao Québéc no miombon-kevitra amin'ny filazàna fa tsy mitombina ny fitakian'ireo mpianatra.
37Gary Mason summarizes:Gary Mason no manazava [en] :
38They don't know how lucky they have it.Tsy fantany (ireo mianatra) ny vintana ananan-dry zareo.
39They have the lowest tuition fees in the country.Ry zareo no manana ny fandaniana farany ambany indrindra amin'ny fidirana an-tsekoly eto amin'ny firenena.
40Even with the proposed $1,625 tuition increase - which the government has now agreed to spread over seven years instead of five - Quebec students would still enjoy costs their counterparts in the rest of the country would kill for.Na dia eo aza ny fisondrotana $1,625 dolara amin'ny sarany - izay atolotry ny governemanta ho tohanana mandritra ny 7 taona fa tsy 5 taona - mbola ny mpianatra ao Québéc hatrany no hanana ny saram-pidirana an-tsekoly amnbany indrindra mitaha amin'ireo mpianatra hafa manerana ny firenena.