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1Climate Change Could Already Be Displacing More People Than WarMety ho efa namindra olona betsaka kokoa noho ny ady sahady ny fiovan'ny toetrandro
2Children play in the dirty flood water in Sylhet city, Bangladesh, on September 2, 2015.Ankizy milalao ao anaty rano maloto ao an-tanànan'i Sylhet, Bangladesh, tamin'ny 2 Septambra 2015.
3Low-lying Bangladesh is perhaps the most vulnerable nation to the impacts of climate change.Bangladesh ambany toerana angamba no firenena marefo indrindra amin'ny fiantraikan'ny fiovan'ny toetrandro.
4Photo by Md. Akhlas Uddin.Sary avy amin'i Md. Akhlas Uddin.
5Copyright DemotixCopyright Demotix
6This article by Jason Margolis for The World originally appeared on PRI.org on December 9, 2015, and is republished here as part of a content-sharing agreement.Ity lahatsoratr'i Jason Margolis ho an'ny The World nivoaka voalohany tao amin'ny PRI.org tamin'ny 9 desambra 2015 ity dia nivoaka eto indray ho ao anatin'ny fifanarahana fifampizarana votoaty.
7Some 26 million people are being displaced by natural disasters worldwide - roughly one person per second - three times the number of people displaced by war and violence.Eo ho eo amin'ny 26 tapitrisa eo ny olona nafindran'ny voina voajanahary manerantany toerana - izany hoe tokony ho olona iray isa-tsegondra - in-telo avo heny noho ny isan'ny olona nafindran'ny ady sy ny herisetra toerana.
8And most natural disasters are related to climatic conditions (although scientists can't tie a specific climatic event, like a hurricane, directly to the changing climate).Ary ny ankamaroan'ny voina voajanahary dia mifandraika amin'ny toetr'andro (na dia tsy aaf-mampifandray ny toe-javatra ara-toetrandro, tahaka ny rivodoza, mivantana amin'ny fiovan'ny toetrandro aza ny manampahaizana).
9Listen to this story on PRI.org »Listen to this story on PRI.org »
10It's not just people on the Marshall Islands and low-lying island nations who are highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.Tsy ny olona amin'ny faritra iva any amin'ny vondronosy Marshall na ireo nosy sy firenena iva toerana ihany no tena marefo eo anatrehan'ny fiantraikan'ny fiovan'ny toetrandro.
11South and southeast Asia have large populations in low-lying areas that are exposed to the impacts from climate change, countries like Bangladesh, Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand.Manana mponina betsaka monina amin'ny faritra iva mirentirenty eo anoloan'ny fiovan'ny toetrandro ihany koa ny ao Azia atsimo sy atsimo atsinanana, toy ny ao Bangladesh, Vietnam, Kambodza ary Thailandy.
12Climate change is expected to induce significant displacement of populations in those nations.Heverina handrisika ny mponina amin'ireo firenena ireo hifindra toerana ny fiovan'ny toetrandro.
13It's already doing so in Bangladesh.Efa izany moa ankehitriny ny zavamisy ao Bangladesh.
14Francois Gemenne, who studies populations displaced by environmental conditions and teaches at several European universities, says most climate refugees move internally, very short distances.Francois Gemenne, izay mandinika ny mponina mifindra toerana noho ny toe-javamisy ara-tontolo iainana sy mampianatra any amin'ireo oniversite eoropeana maro, nilaza fa mifindra toerana ao anatin'ny firenena ihany ny ankamaroan'ny mpialokaloka, ary eo akaiky dia akaiky ihany.
15And typically, the most vulnerable, the poorest, are unable to move because migration is simply too expensive.Ary ny hita miavaka, tsy afa-mihetsika ireo tena marefo indrindra, ireo mahantra indrindra, satria lafo loatra ny fifindra-toerana.
16“People are stuck in the face of disaster.“Ankona ny olona rehefa miatrika voina.
17People, to a certain extent, can sustain some changes and can resist changes.Afa-mizaka fiovana sy miaritra fiovana sasantsasany ihany ny olona, hatramin'ny fetra iray.
18But the changes are now becoming so hard, and so quick, and so repeated, that it comes a point where people can no longer sustain it,” says Gemenne.Saingy mafy loatra ny fioana amin'izao fotoana izao, ary haingana dia haingana no miverimberina, hany ka misy ny fetra tsy mahazaka intsony ny olona,” hoy i Gemenne.
19“We see a narrative of sustained suffering and sustained adaptation until a tipping point is reached and then a decision to migrate is taken.”“Mahita fiaretana sy fizakàna manaraka ny toe-javamisy ataon'ny olona izahay mandra-pahatonga amin'ny teboka iray hanapahany hevitra hifindra monina.”
20Of course, it's difficult to label somebody as a “climate refugee” when the forces that trigger people to move are often so complex - migrants relocate due to war, famine, economic hardship and natural disasters.Mazava loatra fa sarotra ny hanondro olona iray ho “mpialokaloky ny toetrandro” raha mifamahofaho be loatra ireo hery mahatonga ny olona hifindra - mifindra monina ny olona noho ny ady, hanoanana, fahasarotana ara-toekarena ary voina ara-voajanahary.
21“Clearly this is a difficult issue and it's not always easy, apart from some obvious cases such as sea-level rise, to identify climate change as a sole trigger (of migration), says Gemenne.“Miharihary fa olana saro-dresahana izy ity ary tsy mora matetika, ankoatra ireo tranga miharihary tahaka ny fiakaran'ny ranomasina, hamantarana ny fiovan'ny toetrandro ho tokana mahatonga (ny fifindramonina), hoy i Gemenne.
22“I think, actually, it makes little sense to try to identify and define a specific category of climate refugees or ecological refugees.“Mieritreritra aho, fa mety ho misy dikany ihany ny miezaka mamantatra sy mamaritra sokajim-pifindramonina noho ny toetrandro na mpialokaloka noho ny tontolo iainana.
23I think that what we ought to do is to recognize the growing role of the environment as a driving factor of migration.”Mieritreritra aho fa tokony hanao izany isika hankatoavana ny anjara toeran'ny tontolo iainana mihamahazo vahana ho singa mahatonga ny fifindramonina.”
24Consider Africa, says Gemenne, where a significant portion of the population remains tied to the agricultural economy that's been disrupted by a shifting climate.Hevero i Afrika, hoy i Gemenne, izay mifamatotra akaiky amin'ny toekarena ara-pambolena izay tratran'ny fikorontanana ara-toetrandro ny ankamaroan'ny mponina.
25“Many of the economic migrants in Africa are also environmental migrants because they can no longer make a livelihood.”“Maro amin'ny mpifindramonina ara-toekarena ao Afrika ihany koa no mpifindramonina ara-tontolo iainana satria tsy manana fidirambola intsony ry zareo.”